Getting To 270: Same As It Ever Was

George Will just saved me a lot of time I would have spent reading RCP articles about the 2012 presidential election over the next year. He did so by reminding us that the election will hinge on the same battleground states since 2000, not any national polls. An excerpt:

There are many paths to 270 Republican electoral votes. Of the 10 states that will lose electoral votes because of the 2010 census, Obama carried eight in 2008. The states John McCain carried then had 173 electoral votes and now have 180. A Republican nominee who holds those and adds Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Indiana, Virginia and Nevada has 272 electoral votes.

Obama’s margin of error in the 5 States to be flipped

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Offshore Money, Taxes And Obama Apologists

In the survival-of-the-fittest environment of blogging economists, a revealing story unfolded. What began as a practical lesson in corporate finance, ended up highlighting the hypocrisy of a key Obama cheerleader who is all for higher taxes, as long as others are the ones paying.
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Ireland’s Bloody Sunday

If Tuesday’s [05/17] news of the British Queen visiting Ireland’s Croke Park stadium did not seem unusual, then like me, you need a refresher on ‘The Troubles.’

Opening lyrics to the U2 song, Sunday Bloody Sunday:

I can’t believe the news today
Oh, I can’t close my eyes and make it go away
How long, how long must we sing this song?
How long? How long?
‘Cause tonight we can be as one, tonight

Those lyrics are about an incident in Northern Ireland where British troops shot and killed Catholic civil rights marchers in 1972. There was some closure to that incident in 2010 when an inquiry [Bloody Sunday] begun in 1998 by the British government culminated in a statement of apology from British prime minister David Cameron in the House of Commons. The reaction from U2 lead singer, Bono, in a New York Times Op-ed at the time:

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God and imagination

The greatest Christian writers of the last century — C.S. Lewis [Chronicles of Narnia], G.K. Chesterton [The Ethics of Elfland, a chapter in Orthodoxy], and J.R.R. Tolkien [Lord of the Rings] — loved fairy tales. The reason is that those types of stories are better able to convey the mystery of a world created by God.

C.S. Lewis quotes

  • Enemy-occupied territory–that is what this world is. Christianity is the story of how the rightful king has landed, you might say landed in disguise, and is calling us all to take part in a great campaign of sabotage.
  • Some day you will be old enough to start reading fairy tales again.

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A Black Center Boston Can Love

So who is the black center Boston can love? No, not Bill Russell, he was so … so forward, but clean and articulate of course.  No silly it’s Kendrick Perkins.  Boston is the type of city that can embrace black athletes when they behave, retire or have been shipped out of town.  Or should I say bused?

The Miami Heat defeated the Boston Celtics in their Eastern Conference semifinal series on May 11th, but that was not the real story of the night for Boston fans and Real-Basketball-People.  Dwyane Wade had perhaps his most complete and efficient playoff series ever, but he was not the real basketball story. LeBron James snatched the ‘you’re not clutch’ monkey off his back, beat it to a pulp, threw it violently against the $2,000 NBA Rectangular Backboard with Center Strut and stomped on its torso after leaping from the top of that backboard, but even that was not what Real-Basketball-People gleamed from the series.  Real-Basketball-People were focused on the gaping hole left by the absence of the inimitable Kendrick Perkins.
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U2 For The Aging

Bono turned 51 on May 10th. From a New York Times Magazine profile in 2005, an excerpt:

The band has been together ever since. Even Paul McGuinness, their manager, has been with them from the beginning. This is not only rare in the rock business; it is just about unheard-of. U2 is also one of the very few bands in which all revenue is shared equally; Bono and the Edge could have claimed the songwriting revenue but didn’t. Nor do any of them appear to have succumbed to drugs, alcohol or raging ego. Religion played an important role in the band members’ lives, if not always in their music; indeed, the band’s survival was threatened only when, early on, Bono, the Edge and Larry Mullen Jr. thought of leaving to join a Christian fellowship. Bono remains religious, and not in the cosmic, New Age sense you expect from rock stars. He describes himself as a “meandering Christian,” and his four children attend the Church of Ireland, which is Episcopalian (and thus splits the difference between his mother and father).

Wanted: Concert tickets for June 2011

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Reasonable HardballTalk

One of my favorite national bloggers, Craig Calcaterra from the HardballTalk Blog, gives me a mention in discussing Tim Elfrink’s Miami NewTimes article which criticizes the new Marlins stadium in Little Havana [cant’ write that enough]. Calcaterra writes:

As for the specifics of the Miami New Times article, longtime friend of HBT — [JC: very true, see links at end of post] — Jorge Costales, who was quoted in the article, makes several clarifications over at his blog. For what it’s worth, Jorge is pro-stadium and was actually pro-taxpayer funding for the stadium as far as it went. But he has been a sharp critic of Jeff Loria and the Marlins’ claims of poverty that helped get the deal done.

And I think that’s where I come down. Personally, I am against taxpayer funding for ballparks. I can understand, however, why some folks like Jorge take a different side of this depending on the specifics of the funding, the need for the stadium, the location and other factors. All politics is local, and there’s a direct correlation between one’s knowledge of a given area and one’s righteousness in taking a strong stance on the matter. When I speak about ballpark funding it’s usually a philosophical matter, and that only gets you so far.

But no matter the merits of any specific plan, the case for a ballpark has to be made honestly. And it seems fairly clear to me that the case for the Marlins’ new palace was not made honestly. That’s something that should be remembered when the place opens up next spring.

Very rare for the opinionated world of blogging to see someone take a nuanced approach on an issue. Continue reading

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Marlins Stadium Article Mentions 2 Think Good Blog

I could feel that something odd was happening to my blog for the past few days. Sure enough, a review of my site stats confirmed it, readers! The two-day triple-digit deluge of visitors were sent over by a generous mention in a New Times article by Tim Elfrink about the Marlins new stadium. Elfrink has strong views on the stadium:

Like a festering, silver-plated pustule, a grotesquely huge can opener, or just an obscene ode to wasted cash, the new Florida Marlins stadium is rising above Miami’s skyline. Whether you’re driving down a tree-shaded block in Little Havana or cruising the Dolphin Expressway to South Beach, there it is: a $515 million money sucker that is probably the worst deal for taxpayers of any stadium in America.

Tom Wolfe would have been proud of that opening sentence! I don’t know Bauhaus from Our House, but the stadium looks beautiful to me. Since blog bytes are free, I also wanted to weigh in on other points made by Elfrink in the article.

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Erik Spoelstra: Making Allies

If you are Erik Spoelstra heading into the 2010-2011 NBA season, there is one big question mark; Will I be able to get LeBron James on my side? Wade was already there, but if he doesn’t get James, he’s eventually out. That’s not a big secret. Watch Pat Riley early in the season say exactly that in an interview with Magic Johnson [start at 55 sec mark]. The rough start probably helped in terms of bonding, but in my opinion Spoelstra won James over during a late season losing streak.

Here’s what happened in five of six games, all losses:

  • Feb 24 @ Chicago — final score 93-89 — time left 0:11 — LeBron James misses 24-foot three point jumper
  • Feb 27 vs NY Knicks — final score 91-86 — time left 0:02 — LeBron James misses 25-foot three point jumper
  • Mar 3 vs Orlando — final score 99-96 — time left 0:03 — LeBron James misses 25-foot three point jumper
  • Mar 4 @ San Antonio — Destroyed 125-95
  • Mar 6 vs Chicago — final score 87-86 — time left 0:05 — LeBron James misses driving layup

What were we fans all saying at the time? ‘It’s not rocket science, give the ball to Wade!’ The Heat did exactly that in the next game against the Lakers, a big win in a close game. But how do you think it made James feel about his coach when Spoelstra stuck with him despite his repeated failures at the end of games?

So the next time you see a montage of the Heat and James struggles during that part of the season, appreciate that James’ misses were the best thing that could have happened to Erik Spoelstra’s job security and by extension, the Miami Heat’s cohesion. Because after those failures, both superstars appeared to be allies of their head coach.

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George Will On Change And Power

The great George Will brings a detached perspective on the use of U.S. power. Will has always been the voice of true conservatism, the Edmund Burke and William F. Buckley Jr. ‘politics of reality’ brand. A brand that I am quick to abandon when I see Islamofascism on the other side. Partisan hacks typically don’t oppose their own side of politics, like Will did with Bush going to war, and credit people on the other side, like John Kerry, when the facts bear out their analysis. An excerpt from his column:

… our Libya policy — if what seem to be hourly improvisations can be dignified as a policy — began as a no-fly zone to protect civilians from wanton violence. Seven weeks later, our policy is to decapitate the government by long-distance assassination and to intensify a civil war in that tribal society, in the name of humanitarianism. What makes this particularly surreal is that it is being done by NATO.

Unpack the acronym: North Atlantic Treaty Organization. NATO was created in 1949 to protect Western Europe from the Red Army. Its purpose was, in Lord Ismay’s famous formulation, “to keep the Russians out, the Americans in and the Germans down.” NATO, which could long ago have unfurled a “mission accomplished” banner, has now become an instrument of addlepated [JC: confused] mischief.

This is an episode of presidential malpractice. Obama has allowed NATO to be employed for the advancement of a half-baked doctrine, a quarter-baked rationalization and an unworthy national agenda.

The job of the next global security organization will likely be ‘to keep the Chinese out, the Americans in and the Islamofascists uncovered and down. NICO?

The entire George Will column is copied at end of post.
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